482
Example 32
The posterior distribution for Patient 25’s timesqr lies entirely to the right of 42.415.
Of course, we knew from the data alone that timesqr exceeds 42.415, but now we also
know that there is practically no chance that Patient 25’s timesqr exceeds 70. For that
matter, there is only a slim chance that timesqr exceeds even 55.
To see a posterior predictive distribution that looks very different from Patient 25’s:
E Click the << symbol in the 100
th
row of the Posterior Predictive Distributions table.